Methodology
The six components
| Component | Question it answers | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| supplyConcentration | Can a handful of wallets end this? | 25 |
| liquidityIntegrity | Is the liquidity real, locked, and deep enough to exit? | 25 |
| insiderPositioning | Was this pre-positioned, and are they still here? | 20 |
| deployerReputation | Has this creator done this before, and how did it end? | 15 |
| demandAuthenticity | Is the volume organic or manufactured? | 10 |
| contractRisk | Can the rules be changed after I buy? | 5 |
Grade bands
- A — score 85 and above
- B — score 70 and above
- C — score 55 and above
- D — score 35 and above
- F — score 0 and above
Below 40% coverage we publish no grade at all. Refusing to grade is better than grading badly, and the missing checks are named explicitly.
Survival, defined
A launch is surviving while it holds at least $5,000 of liquidity and $1,000 of 24-hour volume, sustained rather than instantaneous. Survival rates are only published for cohorts with a large enough sample; a rate without its denominator is misleading, so thin segments are computed and withheld.
Known limitations
- Indexed chain data lags the chain by minutes. This is pre-trade diligence, not a sniping tool, and every surface shows its own age.
- Coordination detection is inference from funding relationships, reported with a confidence tier. It is never asserted as fact.
- Wash-trading and demand-authenticity signals are heuristics. They measure suspicion, not proof.
- Chains expose unequal data. Coverage is reported alongside every grade rather than silently imputed.